Playoffs? The Numbers Just Don’t Add Up
Here’s my first post for Bay Area Ball. Just a quick hit about Mark Jackson’s post-practice quote about making the playoffs…
We’ve heard it since Mark Jackson was hired: the Warriors will be a playoff team. After today’s practice, with his team 6-11, he stood by his prediction.
“Absolutely. We have everything we need to put together a great run and a stretch of winning basketball. I still believe that. No question about it. “
But just how good of a run would the Warriors have to put together?
The Lakers are currently the 8th seed in the Western Conference with an 11-8 record. Let’s be ultra-conservative and assume over the final 47 games, the Lakers go 24-23, to give them 35 wins on the season. For the Warriors to get to 35 wins, they would have to finish 29-19. If the Lakers keep playing at their current pace (.579 winning percentage), the Warriors would have to finish the season 32-16.
And this doesn’t even include Houston and Memphis. Both teams are over .500 and are on the outside looking in.
No matter how much the Warriors have bought into the system, no matter how defensive-minded the Warriors have become, they simply don’t have enough talent to make the playoffs this season.
I know Mark Jackson is a man of faith, but at some point, the numbers just don’t add up.